AGO stock: buy or sell?
April 6th, 2020
Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally.
Should I buy AGO stock?Trading stocks requires experience and discipline, and your buying and selling decisions must come following a methodology. Following a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
None of our preferred buy setups matches with Assured Guaranty stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Assured Guaranty stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday.Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for AGO stock for the last 30 days.
AGO stock analysis
After sliding for 4 days, Monday Assured Guaranty skyrocketed a dazzling 10.25%, closing at $23.99.
After sliding a hair-raising -9.60% on Friday, Assured Guaranty closed today at $23.99 and skyrocketed a dazzling 10.25%. Since last Feb/24 when AGO stock price broke down the SMA200d line, it slid $-22.06 per share (-47.90%). AGO is soaring again after a 27.85% correction from its last top on March 26th at $29.52. On December, AGO hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on December tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.
After sliding a frightening -18.29% in a week last week, Assured Guaranty closed this week at $23.99 and skyrocketed an amazing 10.25%.
Since price and 40-weeks moving average lines crossed down late February, AGO fell $-22.06 per share (-47.90%). Stocks below the 200 days moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders. Far behind is the all-time high Assured Guaranty hit by mid December 2019 and since then the price is -52.50% below that top.
AGO stock price history
AGO IPO was on April 23rd, 2004 at $14.55 per share1. Since then, AGO stock grew a 64.90%, with a yearly average of 4.30%. If you had invested $1,000 in AGO stock in 2004, it would worth $649.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
AGO stock historical price chart
AGO stock reached all-time highs on December with a price of $50.50.
AGO stock price targetNobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price target for Assured Guaranty stock by any trusted analyst.
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share, when Assured Guaranty posted its last earnings report, it . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a spooky slide of -40.39% to $1,002.00 million USD. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, in contrast, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) soared a 8.57% to 52.00%.
|2013||$1,190 M||-||$807 M67.8%||-|
|2014||$1,994 M||67.56%||$1,088 M54.6%||34.82%|
|2015||$1,993 M||-0.05%||$1,056 M53.0%||-2.94%|
|2016||$1,418 M||-28.85%||$881 M62.1%||-16.57%|
|2017||$1,681 M||18.55%||$730 M43.4%||-17.14%|
|2018||$1,002 M||-40.39%||$521 M52.0%||-28.63%|
Quarterly financial resultsAssured Guaranty reported $214.00 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a -21.90% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $88.00 million with a profit margin of 41.12%. Profit margin plummed a -17.64% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 58.76%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Assured Guaranty sales marked a hair-raising drop down and plunged a -23.84%.
|2017-Q1||$421 M||-||$317 M75.3%||-|
|2017-Q2||$298 M||-29.22%||$153 M51.3%||-51.74%|
|2017-Q3||$623 M||109.06%||$208 M33.4%||35.95%|
|2017-Q4||$281 M||-54.90%||$52 M18.5%||-75.00%|
|2018-Q1||$293 M||4.27%||$197 M67.2%||278.85%|
|2018-Q2||$221 M||-24.57%||$75 M33.9%||-61.93%|
|2018-Q3||$274 M||23.98%||$161 M58.8%||114.67%|
|2018-Q4||$214 M||-21.90%||$88 M41.1%||-45.34%|
Assured Guaranty ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in shares of a stock, it's worth to check its ownership structure.
Assured Guaranty shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 11.18% of all shares.
In case of Assured Guaranty stock, 0.00% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AGO stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Assured Guaranty:
|Market cap||$2.2 B|
|Total shares||92.6 M|
|Float shares||88.9 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||0.0%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||11.2%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%|
|Monday, April 6th, 2020|
|Day range||$23.00 - $24.75|
|Average true range||$4.08|
|50d mov avg||$37.55|
|100d mov avg||$43.13|
|200d mov avg||$43.61|
Assured Guaranty performanceStocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. We compared Assured Guaranty against in the following table: