AGNC stock: buy or sell?
February 14th, 2020
AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency.
Should I buy AGNC stock?Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
Currently, AGNC Investment stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is AGNC Investment stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for AGNC stock for the last 30 days.
AGNC stock analysis
AGNC Investment grew 1.15% on Feb 14th to $19.34 after reaching all time highs on Feb/6.
After topping to all time highs on February/6, AGNC Investment grew 1.15% on Feb/14 to $19.34. Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on January, AGNC price climbed $1.81 per share (10.33%). AGNC shows a short term strength with several rising tops and rising bottoms. In the very short term, on Tuesday it marked a new bottom at $18.90 that should act a support if AGNC Investment starts a trading flat base in the range of $18.90 - $19.38 If AGNC Investment breakouts over $19.38 with average or higher volume, this would be a signal that the uptrend resumes. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on October, AGNC climbed $3.58 (22.72%). On Feb 6th, AGNC hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $19.24 recorded on February 5th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.
AGNC Investment shares grew 0.78% this week, ending at $19.34. This week was the fifth green week in a row.
Not so far away is the last all-time high AGNC Investment marked last week. Since late December 2019 when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, AGNC price gained $1.94 per share (11.15%). Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up by mid October 2019, AGNC climbed $3.66 (23.34%).
AGNC stock price history
AGNC IPO was on May 15th, 2008 at $3.29 per share1. Since then, AGNC stock surged a 487.80%, with an average of 44.30% per year. If you had invested right after AGNC's IPO a $1,000 in AGNC stock in 2008, it would worth $4,878.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
AGNC stock historical price chart
AGNC stock reached all-time highs on February/6 with a price of $19.38.
AGNC stock price targetHow much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not found any price forecast for AGNC Investment stock by any trusted analyst.
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareAGNC Investment failed analysts when it published an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.53 when the market consensus was $0.61.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsIn 2018, AGNC Investment annual revenues plummed a dreadful -72.87% to $229.00 million USD from $844.00 marked in 2017. In line, its income margin (compared to revenues) plunged to 56.33%, that is $129.00 million.
|2013||$666 M||-||$1,260 M189.2%||-|
|2014||$-92.00 M||-113.81%||$-233.00 M253.3%||-118.49%|
|2015||$354 M||-484.78%||$215 M60.7%||-192.27%|
|2016||$728 M||105.65%||$623 M85.6%||189.77%|
|2017||$844 M||15.93%||$771 M91.4%||23.76%|
|2018||$229 M||-72.87%||$129 M56.3%||-83.27%|
Quarterly financial resultsAGNC Investment posted $-785.00 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -400.77% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-804.00 million with a profit margin of 102.42%. Profit margin rocketed a 19.66% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 82.76%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, AGNC Investment sales marked a hair-raising decrease and collapsed a -294.79%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, AGNC Investment posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$312 M||-||$24 M7.7%||-|
|2017-Q3||$484 M||55.13%||$286 M59.1%||1,091.67%|
|2017-Q4||$403 M||-16.74%||$385 M95.5%||34.62%|
|2018-Q1||$442 M||9.68%||$424 M95.9%||10.13%|
|2018-Q2||$311 M||-29.64%||$293 M94.2%||-30.90%|
|2018-Q3||$261 M||-16.08%||$216 M82.8%||-26.28%|
|2018-Q4||$-785 M||-400.77%||$-804 M102.4%||-472.22%|
|2019-Q1||$284 M||-136.18%||$265 M93.3%||-132.96%|
AGNC Investment ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.
Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For AGNC Investment, 0.32% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of AGNC Investment stock, 68.39% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AGNC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to AGNC Investment:
|Market cap||$10.5 B|
|Total shares||540.9 M|
|Float shares||537.6 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||68.4%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.3%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%|
|Friday, February 14th, 2020|
|Day range||$19.14 - $19.36|
|Average true range||$0.25|
|50d mov avg||$17.95|
|100d mov avg||$17.08|
|200d mov avg||$16.34|
AGNC Investment performanceTo measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. We selected as the bechmarking frame for AGNC Investment stock.