AGNC stock: buy or sell?
March 27th, 2020
AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency.
Should I buy AGNC stock?You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. That's why is so important to define your own trading strategy that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
None of our preferred buy setups matches with AGNC Investment stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is AGNC Investment stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for AGNC stock for the last 30 days.
AGNC stock analysis
After boosting an astounding 7.06% on March/26, AGNC Investment closed yesterday at $13.15 and dropped a fatal -2.23%.
After climbing for 4 sessions, Friday AGNC Investment dropped a fatal -2.23%, closing at $13.15. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on Mar/9, AGNC fell $-3.95 per share (-23.10%). Since January when SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, AGNC price slipped $-4.23 per share (-24.34%). On February/21, AGNC hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $19.45 recorded on Feb 20th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.
After sliding a hair-raising -22.18% in a week last week, AGNC Investment closed this week at $13.15 and climbed an outstanding 33.77%.
Not so far away is the last all-time high AGNC Investment marked by mid February, but since then it dropped a 32.49%. Since early March, when AGNC stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-3.95 per share (-23.10%). Stocks below the 200 days moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders. Since late December 2019 when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, AGNC price slipped $-4.10 per share (-23.77%).
AGNC stock price history
AGNC stock went public on May 15th, 2008 with a price of $3.261. Since then, AGNC stock grew a 303.40%, with a yearly average of 27.60%. If you had invested right after AGNC's IPO a $1,000 in AGNC stock in 2008, it would worth $3,034.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
AGNC stock historical price chart
AGNC stock reached all-time highs on Feb 21st with a price of $19.48.
AGNC stock price targetNobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' AGNC stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not found any price forecast for AGNC Investment stock by any trusted analyst.
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share, AGNC Investment didn't meet the estimates of the analysts and reported an awful EPS of $0.53 per share when experts were expecting $0.61.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsIn 2018, AGNC Investment annual revenues collapsed a spooky -72.87% to $229.00 M dollars from $844.00 marked in 2017. In line, its profit margin (compared to sales) plummed to 56.33%, that is $129.00 million.
|2013||$666 M||-||$1,260 M189.2%||-|
|2014||$-92.00 M||-113.81%||$-233.00 M253.3%||-118.49%|
|2015||$354 M||-484.78%||$215 M60.7%||-192.27%|
|2016||$728 M||105.65%||$623 M85.6%||189.77%|
|2017||$844 M||15.93%||$771 M91.4%||23.76%|
|2018||$229 M||-72.87%||$129 M56.3%||-83.27%|
Quarterly financial resultsAGNC Investment posted $-785.00 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -400.77% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-804.00 M with a profit margin of 102.42%. Profit margin climbed a 19.66% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 82.76%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, AGNC Investment sales marked a dreadful correction and plunged a -294.79%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, AGNC Investment posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$312 M||-||$24 M7.7%||-|
|2017-Q3||$484 M||55.13%||$286 M59.1%||1,091.67%|
|2017-Q4||$403 M||-16.74%||$385 M95.5%||34.62%|
|2018-Q1||$442 M||9.68%||$424 M95.9%||10.13%|
|2018-Q2||$311 M||-29.64%||$293 M94.2%||-30.90%|
|2018-Q3||$261 M||-16.08%||$216 M82.8%||-26.28%|
|2018-Q4||$-785 M||-400.77%||$-804 M102.4%||-472.22%|
|2019-Q1||$284 M||-136.18%||$265 M93.3%||-132.96%|
AGNC Investment ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.
AGNC Investment shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.36% of all shares.
In case of AGNC Investment stock, 68.53% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AGNC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to AGNC Investment:
|Market cap||$7.1 B|
|Total shares||540.9 M|
|Float shares||537.6 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||68.5%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||0.4%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%|
|Friday, March 27th, 2020|
|Day range||$12.65 - $13.59|
|Average true range||$2.07|
|50d mov avg||$16.54|
|100d mov avg||$16.79|
|200d mov avg||$16.13|
AGNC Investment performancePerformance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. In the following table, we compare AGNC Investment performance to :