AGNC stock: buy or sell?

AGNC stock price: $19.34 1.15% At close on February 14th, 2020

Updated on:
February 14th, 2020

5

After marking all time highs on Feb/6, AGNC Investment grew 1.15% to $19.34. Counting February 14th, it's been 3 green sessions in a row, adding $0.36 or 1.89%.

AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency.

Should I buy AGNC stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, AGNC Investment stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean AGNC will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is AGNC Investment stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for AGNC stock for the last 30 days.

AGNC stock analysis

Daily outlook

AGNC Investment grew 1.15% on Feb 14th to $19.34 after reaching all time highs on Feb/6.

After topping to all time highs on February/6, AGNC Investment grew 1.15% on Feb/14 to $19.34. Since SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up on January, AGNC price climbed $1.81 per share (10.33%). AGNC shows a short term strength with several rising tops and rising bottoms. In the very short term, on Tuesday it marked a new bottom at $18.90 that should act a support if AGNC Investment starts a trading flat base in the range of $18.90 - $19.38 If AGNC Investment breakouts over $19.38 with average or higher volume, this would be a signal that the uptrend resumes. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on October, AGNC climbed $3.58 (22.72%). On Feb 6th, AGNC hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $19.24 recorded on February 5th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

AGNC stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

AGNC Investment shares grew 0.78% this week, ending at $19.34. This week was the fifth green week in a row.

Not so far away is the last all-time high AGNC Investment marked last week. Since late December 2019 when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, AGNC price gained $1.94 per share (11.15%). Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up by mid October 2019, AGNC climbed $3.66 (23.34%).

AGNC stock chart (weekly)

AGNC stock price history

AGNC IPO was on May 15th, 2008 at $3.29 per share1. Since then, AGNC stock surged a 487.80%, with an average of 44.30% per year. If you had invested right after AGNC's IPO a $1,000 in AGNC stock in 2008, it would worth $4,878.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

AGNC stock historical price chart

AGNC stock reached all-time highs on February/6 with a price of $19.38.

AGNC stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not found any price forecast for AGNC Investment stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

AGNC Investment failed analysts when it published an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.53 when the market consensus was $0.61.
AGNC earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.05n/a
2017-Q32017-10-250.610.621.6%
2017-Q42018-01-310.610.633.3%
2018-Q12018-04-250.610.6-1.6%
2018-Q22018-07-250.620.631.6%
2018-Q32018-10-240.610.610.0%
2018-Q42019-01-300.610.53-13.1%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, AGNC Investment annual revenues plummed a dreadful -72.87% to $229.00 million USD from $844.00 marked in 2017. In line, its income margin (compared to revenues) plunged to 56.33%, that is $129.00 million.

AGNC annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$666 M-$1,260 M189.2%-
2014$-92.00 M-113.81%$-233.00 M253.3%-118.49%
2015$354 M-484.78%$215 M60.7%-192.27%
2016$728 M105.65%$623 M85.6%189.77%
2017$844 M15.93%$771 M91.4%23.76%
2018$229 M-72.87%$129 M56.3%-83.27%

Quarterly financial results

AGNC Investment posted $-785.00 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -400.77% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-804.00 million with a profit margin of 102.42%. Profit margin rocketed a 19.66% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 82.76%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, AGNC Investment sales marked a hair-raising decrease and collapsed a -294.79%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, AGNC Investment posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
AGNC quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$312 M-$24 M7.7%-
2017-Q3$484 M55.13%$286 M59.1%1,091.67%
2017-Q4$403 M-16.74%$385 M95.5%34.62%
2018-Q1$442 M9.68%$424 M95.9%10.13%
2018-Q2$311 M-29.64%$293 M94.2%-30.90%
2018-Q3$261 M-16.08%$216 M82.8%-26.28%
2018-Q4$-785 M-400.77%$-804 M102.4%-472.22%
2019-Q1$284 M-136.18%$265 M93.3%-132.96%

AGNC Investment ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For AGNC Investment, 0.32% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of AGNC Investment stock, 68.39% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AGNC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to AGNC Investment:

AGNC
Market cap$10.5 B
Total shares540.9 M
Float shares537.6 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)68.4%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.3%
Shares in short selling0.0%

AGNC summary

Friday, February 14th, 2020
Open$19.15
Close$19.34
Day range$19.14 - $19.36
Previous close$19.12
Session gain1.15%
Average true range$0.25
50d mov avg$17.95
100d mov avg$17.08
200d mov avg$16.34
Daily patternlb03a
Weekly pattern

AGNC Investment performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. We selected as the bechmarking frame for AGNC Investment stock.
Stock3m6m12m
AGNCAGNC Investment14.51%26.16%23.18%

AGNC Investment competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as AGNC Investment competitor. This doesn't mean AGNC Investment does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.