AGNC stock: buy or sell?

AGNC stock price: $13.15 -2.23% At close on March 27th, 2020

Updated on:
March 27th, 2020

2

After climbing for 4 sessions, Friday AGNC Investment dropped a fatal -2.23%, closing at $13.15. On Mar/18 AGNC collapsed a hair-raising -21.38%. On March 26th AGNC boosted an astounding 7.06%.

AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency.

Should I buy AGNC stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. That's why is so important to define your own trading strategy that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with AGNC Investment stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean AGNC will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is AGNC Investment stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for AGNC stock for the last 30 days.

AGNC stock analysis

Daily outlook

After boosting an astounding 7.06% on March/26, AGNC Investment closed yesterday at $13.15 and dropped a fatal -2.23%.

After climbing for 4 sessions, Friday AGNC Investment dropped a fatal -2.23%, closing at $13.15. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on Mar/9, AGNC fell $-3.95 per share (-23.10%). Since January when SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up, AGNC price slipped $-4.23 per share (-24.34%). On February/21, AGNC hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $19.45 recorded on Feb 20th. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

AGNC stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After sliding a hair-raising -22.18% in a week last week, AGNC Investment closed this week at $13.15 and climbed an outstanding 33.77%.

Not so far away is the last all-time high AGNC Investment marked by mid February, but since then it dropped a 32.49%. Since early March, when AGNC stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-3.95 per share (-23.10%). Stocks below the 200 days moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders. Since late December 2019 when SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up, AGNC price slipped $-4.10 per share (-23.77%).

AGNC stock chart (weekly)

AGNC stock price history

AGNC stock went public on May 15th, 2008 with a price of $3.261. Since then, AGNC stock grew a 303.40%, with a yearly average of 27.60%. If you had invested right after AGNC's IPO a $1,000 in AGNC stock in 2008, it would worth $3,034.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

AGNC stock historical price chart

AGNC stock reached all-time highs on Feb 21st with a price of $19.48.

AGNC stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' AGNC stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not found any price forecast for AGNC Investment stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

, AGNC Investment didn't meet the estimates of the analysts and reported an awful EPS of $0.53 per share when experts were expecting $0.61.
AGNC earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.05n/a
2017-Q32017-10-250.610.621.6%
2017-Q42018-01-310.610.633.3%
2018-Q12018-04-250.610.6-1.6%
2018-Q22018-07-250.620.631.6%
2018-Q32018-10-240.610.610.0%
2018-Q42019-01-300.610.53-13.1%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, AGNC Investment annual revenues collapsed a spooky -72.87% to $229.00 M dollars from $844.00 marked in 2017. In line, its profit margin (compared to sales) plummed to 56.33%, that is $129.00 million.

AGNC annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$666 M-$1,260 M189.2%-
2014$-92.00 M-113.81%$-233.00 M253.3%-118.49%
2015$354 M-484.78%$215 M60.7%-192.27%
2016$728 M105.65%$623 M85.6%189.77%
2017$844 M15.93%$771 M91.4%23.76%
2018$229 M-72.87%$129 M56.3%-83.27%

Quarterly financial results

AGNC Investment posted $-785.00 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -400.77% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-804.00 M with a profit margin of 102.42%. Profit margin climbed a 19.66% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 82.76%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, AGNC Investment sales marked a dreadful correction and plunged a -294.79%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, AGNC Investment posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
AGNC quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$312 M-$24 M7.7%-
2017-Q3$484 M55.13%$286 M59.1%1,091.67%
2017-Q4$403 M-16.74%$385 M95.5%34.62%
2018-Q1$442 M9.68%$424 M95.9%10.13%
2018-Q2$311 M-29.64%$293 M94.2%-30.90%
2018-Q3$261 M-16.08%$216 M82.8%-26.28%
2018-Q4$-785 M-400.77%$-804 M102.4%-472.22%
2019-Q1$284 M-136.18%$265 M93.3%-132.96%

AGNC Investment ownership

When you are planning to invest in a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

AGNC Investment shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.36% of all shares.

In case of AGNC Investment stock, 68.53% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AGNC stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to AGNC Investment:

AGNC
Market cap$7.1 B
Total shares540.9 M
Float shares537.6 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)68.5%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.4%
Shares in short selling0.0%

AGNC summary

Friday, March 27th, 2020
Open$12.91
Close$13.15
Day range$12.65 - $13.59
Previous close$13.45
Session gain-2.23%
Average true range$2.07
50d mov avg$16.54
100d mov avg$16.79
200d mov avg$16.13
Daily patternlt03a
Weekly pattern

AGNC Investment performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. In the following table, we compare AGNC Investment performance to :
Stock3m6m12m
AGNCAGNC Investment-25.11%-14.11%-18.93%

AGNC Investment competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as AGNC Investment competitor. This doesn't mean AGNC Investment does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.