AFSI stock: buy or sell?

AFSI stock price: $14.75 5.43% At close on November 28th, 2018

Updated on:
November 28th, 2018

2

AmTrust Financial Services shares crossed up the simple moving average line of 100d today and closed at $14.75.

AmTrust Financial Services, Inc., through its subsidiaries, underwrites and provides property and casualty insurance in the United States and internationally.

Should I buy AFSI stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. Having a trading strategy helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Just 1 of our buy setups matches with AmTrust Financial Services stock now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is AmTrust Financial Services stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for AFSI stock for the last month.

AFSI stock analysis

Daily outlook

AmTrust Financial Services shares crossed up the SMA line of 100 days today and closed at $14.75.

AmTrust Financial Services shares broke up the simple moving average line of 100d today and closed at $14.75.

AFSI stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

AmTrust Financial Services shares skyrocketed 5.51% late November 2018, ending at $14.75.

Late April 2018, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 14.79%. Stocks under the 40w moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders.

AFSI stock chart (weekly)

AFSI stock price history

AFSI stock went public on June 18th, 2012 with a price of $9.731. Since then, AFSI stock surged a 51.60%, with a yearly average of 7.40%. If you had invested right after AFSI's IPO a $1,000 in AFSI stock in 2012, it would worth $516.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

AFSI stock historical price chart

AFSI stock reached 52-week highs at $14.77, and all-time highs 2015-11-03 with a price of 32.32.

AFSI stock price target

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last month we have not found any price forecast for AmTrust Financial Services stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

AmTrust Financial Services is reporting earnings for 2018-Q3 . We don't currently have any estimate for next quarter EPS ratio. Keep tuned in the coming weeks to learn about AFSI's EPS estimate. , AmTrust Financial Services failed to meet the forecasts of the experts and reported a chilling EPS of $-0.59 per share when experts were expecting $0.27.
AFSI earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2016-Q4-n/a0.44n/a
2017-Q1-n/a0.13n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.03n/a
2017-Q32017-11-080.09-0.04n/a
2017-Q42018-04-02n/an/an/a
2018-Q12018-07-02n/an/an/a
2018-Q22018-08-090.27-0.59n/a
2018-Q32018-12-05n/an/an/a
2018-Q42019-03-14n/an/an/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2016, last anual revenues report draw an excellent increase of 6.39% to $5,816.59 M dollars. When comparing 2017 vs 2016, nonetheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) collapsed a -13.52% to -6.00%.

To have an up to date view of the financial situation of AmTrust Financial Services, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2018-Q2 that can be compared to 2017 fiscal year results. Annual AmTrust Financial Services TTM sales up to June 2018 were $6,340.55 and earnings were $168.21 M USD. If we compare this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review AmTrust Financial Services business evolution since December 2017: Annual revenues up to June, compared to lastest yearly report, escalated a brilliant 9.01%. Regarding profit margin, AmTrust Financial Services jumped 8.65% to -6.00%

AFSI annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$2,980 M-$290 M9.7%-
2014$4,157 M39.49%$447 M10.8%53.92%
2015$4,727 M13.73%$504 M10.7%12.66%
2016$5,467 M15.65%$411 M7.5%-18.39%
2017$5,817 M6.39%$-348.89 M-6.0%-184.89%
TTM $6,341 M9.01%$168 M2.7%-148.21%

Quarterly financial results

AmTrust Financial Services reported $1,395.10 million in revenues for 2018-Q2, a -39.34% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $-99.70 M with a profit margin of -7.15%. Profit margin plunged a -36.64% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 29.50%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, AmTrust Financial Services sales marked a frightening drop down and plummed a -13.88%.
AFSI quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2016-Q4$1,450 M-$115 M7.9%-
2017-Q1$1,440 M-0.69%$39 M2.7%-65.81%
2017-Q2$1,620 M12.50%$22 M1.4%-42.86%
2017-Q3$1,395 M-13.87%$-158 M-11.3%-805.82%
2017-Q4$1,250 M-10.38%$-252 M-20.2%59.63%
2018-Q1$2,300 M83.93%$678 M29.5%-368.79%
2018-Q2$1,395 M-39.34%$-100 M-7.1%-114.70%
2018-Q3$1,577 M13.02%$-68 M-4.3%-31.90%

AmTrust Financial Services ownership

When you are planning to buy a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

AmTrust Financial Services shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a of all shares.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

AFSI
Market cap$0.0 M
Total shares0.0 M
Float shares0.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)0.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

AFSI summary

Wednesday, November 28th, 2018
Open$14.75
Close$14.75
Day range$14.75 - $14.77
Previous close$13.99
Session gain5.43%
Average true range$0.18
50d mov avg$14.33
100d mov avg$14.43
200d mov avg$13.83
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern

AmTrust Financial Services performance

To measure stock performance is always good to benchmark with competitors or related stocks. We compared AmTrust Financial Services against in the following table:
Stock3m6m12m
AFSIAmTrust Financial...1.44%10.32%55.43%

AmTrust Financial Services competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as AmTrust Financial Services competitor. This doesn't mean AmTrust Financial Services does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.