AFSI stock: buy or sell?

AFSI stock price: $14.75 5.43% At close on November 28th, 2018

Updated on:
November 28th, 2018

5

AmTrust Financial Services rocketed 5.43% to $14.75 after marking all time highs .

AmTrust Financial Services, Inc., through its subsidiaries, underwrites and provides property and casualty insurance in the United States and internationally.

Should I buy AFSI stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, 2 buy setups work for AmTrust Financial Services stock right now:

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highYes
New 52 week highYes
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo

Is AmTrust Financial Services stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for AFSI stock for the last 30 days.

AFSI stock analysis

Daily outlook

AmTrust Financial Services shares crossed up the SMA line of 100d today and closed at $14.75, rocketed a 5.43%.

AmTrust Financial Services touched new all time highs back again , marking to $14.77. Shares closed at $14.75 and rocketed 5.43%.

AFSI stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Shares of AmTrust Financial Services ended this week at $14.75 after topping to a new all time high ($14.77) and boosted an impressive 5.51%.

Since price and SMA20w lines crossed up late November 2018, AFSI climbed $0.77 (5.51%).

AFSI stock chart (weekly)

AFSI stock price history

AFSI IPO was on January 4th, 2018 at $10.52 per share1. Since then, AFSI stock surged a 40.20%, with an average of 20.10% per year. If you had invested right after AFSI's IPO a $1,000 in AFSI stock in 2018, it would worth $402.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

AFSI stock historical price chart

AFSI stock reached all-time highs with a price of $14.77.

AFSI stock price target

Predicting the price evolution of a stock or any financial instrument in a reliable and repeatable way is probably impossible. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' AFSI stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last 30 days we have not found any price forecast for AmTrust Financial Services stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

AmTrust Financial Services is reporting earnings for 2018-Q3 . We don't currently have any estimate for next quarter EPS ratio. Keep tuned in the coming weeks to learn about AFSI's EPS estimate. AmTrust Financial Services disappointed analysts when it reported an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $-0.59 when the market consensus was $0.27.
AFSI earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2016-Q4-n/a0.44n/a
2017-Q1-n/a0.13n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.03n/a
2017-Q32017-11-080.09-0.04n/a
2017-Q42018-04-02n/an/an/a
2018-Q12018-07-02n/an/an/a
2018-Q22018-08-090.27-0.59n/a
2018-Q32018-12-05n/an/an/a
2018-Q42019-03-14n/an/an/a
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2017, AmTrust Financial Services annual turnover rose a pretty good 6.39% to $5,816.59 M USD from $5,467.31 marked in 2016. Nonetheless, its profit margin (compared to revenues) collapsed to -6.00%, that is $-348.89 million.

To have an up to date picture of the financial situation of AmTrust Financial Services, we have calculated the trailing twelve month (TTM) sales and income figures. TTM values are the sum of the last 4 quarters and aproximate to an annual fiscal report ending in 2018-Q2 that can be compared to 2017 fiscal year results. Annual AmTrust Financial Services TTM sales up to June 2018 were $6,340.55 and earnings were $168.21 M dollars. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem AmTrust Financial Services business evolution since December 2017: Annual sales up to June, compared to lastest yearly report, soared an impressive 9.01%. Regarding profit margin, AmTrust Financial Services escalated 8.65% to -6.00%

AFSI annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$2,980 M-$290 M9.7%-
2014$4,157 M39.49%$447 M10.8%53.92%
2015$4,727 M13.73%$504 M10.7%12.66%
2016$5,467 M15.65%$411 M7.5%-18.39%
2017$5,817 M6.39%$-348.89 M-6.0%-184.89%
TTM $6,341 M9.01%$168 M2.7%-148.21%

Quarterly financial results

AmTrust Financial Services reported $1,395.10 M in sales for 2018-Q2, a -39.34% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $-99.70 M with a profit margin of -7.15%. Profit margin plummed a -36.64% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 29.50%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, AmTrust Financial Services sales marked a chilling decrease and plummed a -13.88%.
AFSI quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2016-Q4$1,450 M-$115 M7.9%-
2017-Q1$1,440 M-0.69%$39 M2.7%-65.81%
2017-Q2$1,620 M12.50%$22 M1.4%-42.86%
2017-Q3$1,395 M-13.87%$-158 M-11.3%-805.82%
2017-Q4$1,250 M-10.38%$-252 M-20.2%59.63%
2018-Q1$2,300 M83.93%$678 M29.5%-368.79%
2018-Q2$1,395 M-39.34%$-100 M-7.1%-114.70%
2018-Q3$1,577 M13.02%$-68 M-4.3%-31.90%

AmTrust Financial Services ownership

When you are planning to invest in a company, it's always worth to check its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For AmTrust Financial Services, of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

For a better context understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

AFSI
Market cap$0.0 M
Total shares0.0 M
Float shares0.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)0.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

AFSI summary

Wednesday, November 28th, 2018
Open$14.75
Close$14.75
Day range$14.75 - $14.77
Previous close$13.99
Session gain5.43%
Average true range$0.18
50d mov avg$14.33
100d mov avg$14.43
200d mov avg$0.00
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern

AmTrust Financial Services performance

To measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. For AmTrust Financial Services, the comparison is made against .
Stock3m6m12m
AFSIAmTrust Financial...1.44%10.32%0.00%

AmTrust Financial Services competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as AmTrust Financial Services competitor. This doesn't mean AmTrust Financial Services does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.