Aflac stock: buy or sell?

AFL stock price: $54.08 -0.07% At close on November 19th, 2019

Updated on:
November 19th, 2019

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Shares of Aflac remained constant a tight -0.07% and closed at $54.08.

Aflac Incorporated, through its subsidiary, American Family Life Assurance Company of Columbus, provides voluntary supplemental health and life insurance products.

Should I buy Aflac stock?

You can't be a successful trader if you don't follow a methodolgy or system that assist you in choosing companies and the correct market timing. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Aflac stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean AFL will fall in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Aflac stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we detected 9 ratings published for AFL stock in the last month.

Is AFL a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-8-23Barclaysn/aEqual Weight
2019-7-29Raymond JamesStrong-BuyOutperform
2019-7-26Morgan Stanleyn/aEqual Weight
2019-7-16Evercore ISIIn-LineUnderperform
2019-6-18Raymond Jamesn/aStrong-Buy
2019-5-22Barclaysn/aEqual Weight
2019-4-30UBS GroupNeutralNeutral
2019-4-30Raymond JamesStrong-BuyStrong-Buy
2019-2-4SunTrust Banksn/aHold

Aflac stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Aflac remained steady a tight -0.07% and closed at $54.08.

Aflac shares remained steady -0.07% to $54.08 today. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed up on August, AFL climbed $5.20 (10.64%). AFL is trying to break out above $54.06 on Nov/11 after marking a new rising bottom. If it breaks this resistence it will show a sign of strength. On July, AFL hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on July tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

AFL stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After climbing for 4 weeks, this week Aflac remained constant a neutral -0.09%, closing at $54.08.

Price finally broke over the resistance at $52.81 and continued climbing. Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up late August, AFL climbed $5.96 (12.39%). Far behind is the all-time high Aflac marked by mid July but price is just -4.45% below that top. Since SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up this week, AFL price slid a -0.09%.

AFL stock chart (weekly)

Aflac stock price history

Aflac stock went public on September 22nd, 1982 with a price of $0.001. Since then, AFL stock grew a inf%, with a yearly average of inf%. If you had invested $1,000 in Aflac stock in 1982, it would worth $inf today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Aflac stock historical price chart

AFL stock reached all-time highs on July with a price of $56.60.

Aflac stock price target is $54.10

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' AFL stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. We have 8 price targets for AFL stock published in the last month:
AFL stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-8-23BarclaysLowers Target$53.00$49.00-7.5%
2019-7-29Raymond JamesDowngradesn/a$62.00-
2019-7-26Morgan StanleyRaises Target$53.00$54.001.9%
2019-6-18Raymond JamesRaises Target$56.00$62.0010.7%
2019-5-22BarclaysRaises Target$45.00$53.0017.8%
2019-4-30UBS GroupLowers Target$50.00$49.00-2%
2019-4-30Raymond JamesRaises Target$55.00$56.001.8%
2019-2-4SunTrust BanksRaises Target$4.20$48.001042.9%
(in average)$45.20$54.1020.0%
The price prediction for Aflac stock is $54.10, moving in a range between $62.00 and $48.00. In average, analysts' outlook on AFL price target is positive, upgrading the target by a 20.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since last April, when Aflac published its last earnings report, it . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
AFL earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.8n/a
2017-Q32017-10-251.631.74.3%
2017-Q42018-01-310.780.825.1%
2018-Q12018-04-250.971.058.2%
2018-Q22018-07-260.981.079.2%
2018-Q32018-10-240.991.034.0%
2018-Q42019-01-310.941.028.5%
2019-Q12019-04-251.06n/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Aflac annual sales remained steady a tight 0.41% to $21,689.00 M USD from $21,600.00 marked in 2017. When comparing 2018 vs 2017, nevertheless, profit margin (that is, the net income divided by revenues) fell a -7.85% to 13.46%.

Aflac presents anual results in December, and to compare its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, Aflac TTM sales up to March 2019 were $21,883.00 and earnings $3,130.00 M USD. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can review Aflac business evolution since December 2018: Annual revenues up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, stayed constant a slightly fine 0.89%. In the same way, profit margin (net income/sales) stayed stable at 13.46%.

AFL annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$23,810 M-$3,160 M13.3%-
2014$22,606 M-5.06%$2,951 M13.1%-6.61%
2015$20,845 M-7.79%$2,533 M12.2%-14.16%
2016$22,380 M7.36%$2,659 M11.9%4.97%
2017$21,600 M-3.49%$4,604 M21.3%73.15%
2018$21,689 M0.41%$2,920 M13.5%-36.58%
TTM $21,883 M0.89%$3,130 M14.3%7.19%

Quarterly financial results

Aflac reported $5,640.00 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a 10.37% up compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $928.00 million with a profit margin of 16.45%. Profit margin escalated a 6.18% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 10.27%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Aflac sales marked a fine growth and gained a 3.52%.
AFL quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$5,490 M-$713 M13.0%-
2017-Q3$5,550 M1.09%$716 M12.9%0.42%
2017-Q4$5,407 M-2.58%$2,583 M47.8%260.75%
2018-Q1$5,448 M0.76%$717 M13.2%-72.24%
2018-Q2$5,571 M2.26%$832 M14.9%16.04%
2018-Q3$5,562 M-0.16%$845 M15.2%1.56%
2018-Q4$5,110 M-8.13%$525 M10.3%-37.87%
2019-Q1$5,640 M10.37%$928 M16.5%76.76%

Aflac ownership

When you are planning to buy a company, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Aflac shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 1.77% of all shares.

In case of Aflac stock, 70.52% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AFL stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Aflac:

AFLAAMEAIZCNOPFG
Market cap$39.7 B$31.9 M$8.0 B$2.8 B$15.2 B
Total shares734.0 M20.2 M60.6 M151.1 M277.7 M
Float shares691.9 M5.1 M60.0 M149.2 M276.6 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)70.5%5.2%86.1%97.4%73.9%
  - Insider holdings (%)1.8%80.5%1.0%1.1%0.3%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Aflac summary

Tuesday, November 19th, 2019
Open$54.26
Close$54.08
Day range$54.05 - $54.52
Previous close$54.12
Session gain-0.07%
Average true range$0.54
50d mov avg$52.45
100d mov avg$52.50
200d mov avg$51.23
Daily patternlb02b
Weekly pattern lb01c

Aflac performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. For Aflac, the benchmark is made against Atlantic American, Assurant, CNO Financial, Principal Financial and Unum.
Stock3m6m12m
AFLAflac12.39%5.03%24.18%
AAMEAtlantic American-43.57%-36.55%-50.47%
AIZAssurant11.09%32.19%38.63%
CNOCNO Financial29.68%13.13%5.70%
PFGPrincipal Financi...5.85%3.14%18.26%
UNMUnum13.23%-12.26%-14.64%

Aflac competitors

One check before trading any stock is to review a list of its competitors, in this case for Aflac. We picked 5 companies as Aflac competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest Aflac stock news