Aercap stock: buy or sell?
September 20th, 2019
AerCap Holdings N.V., an independent aircraft leasing company, engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial aircraft and engines in China, the United States, Ireland, and internationally.
Should I buy Aercap stock?Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.
Currently, Aercap stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is Aercap stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.At Stocks2.com, we detected 4 ratings published for AER stock in the last 30 days. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for AER stock, with 2 positive ratings.
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Previous rating||Current rating|
|2019-4-8||Goldman Sachs Group||n/a||Neutral|
Aercap stock analysis
Shares of Aercap decreased an ugly -0.70% and closed at $55.12.
Aercap shares decreased -0.70% to $55.12 today. On July, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 9.34%. Since last June when AER stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $6.58 (13.56%). AER is retaking the upward trend marking a new rising bottom heading to break out over $56.76.
Aercap shares dropped -2.43% this week, ending at $55.12.
In a weekly time frame, Aercap stock is drawing an uptrend with rising tops and bottoms. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top, AER might consolidate in a flat-base, waiting to break out over or down under . Early July, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 7.74%. By mid June AER price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.
Aercap stock price history
Aercap IPO was on November 21st, 2006 at $25.00 per share1. Since then, AER stock grew a 120.50%, with an average of 10.00% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in Aercap stock in 2006, it would worth $1,205.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
Aercap stock historical price chart
AER stock reached 52-week highs on October at $57.94, and all-time highs 2018-08-07 with a price of 58.3.
Aercap stock price target is $62.70How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. We found 3 price targets for Aercap stock posted in the last 30 days:
|Date||Analyst / Broker||Action||Previous target||Current target||Diff|
|2019-7-31||Compass Point||Raises Target||$69.00||$73.00||5.8%|
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareSince February, when Aercap presented its last earnings report, it . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsCompared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a lame loss of -3.75% to $4,537.09 M USD. Instead, its earnings margin (compared to revenues) remained stable to 22.39%, that is $1,015.63 million.
|2013||$1,040 M||-||$292 M28.1%||-|
|2014||$3,498 M||236.38%||$810 M23.2%||177.16%|
|2015||$4,992 M||42.69%||$1,179 M23.6%||45.44%|
|2016||$4,868 M||-2.48%||$1,047 M21.5%||-11.21%|
|2017||$4,714 M||-3.16%||$1,076 M22.8%||2.82%|
|2018||$4,537 M||-3.75%||$1,016 M22.4%||-5.62%|
Quarterly financial resultsAercap reported $1,153.36 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 1.85% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $232.64 million with a profit margin of 20.17%. Profit margin depreciated a -3.08% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 23.25%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Aercap sales marked a disappointing correction and declined a -3.71%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Aercap posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$1,230 M||-||$283 M23.0%||-|
|2017-Q3||$1,274 M||3.57%||$266 M20.9%||-6.02%|
|2017-Q4||$1,198 M||-5.97%||$266 M22.2%||0.15%|
|2018-Q1||$1,120 M||-6.47%||$265 M23.7%||-0.32%|
|2018-Q2||$1,131 M||0.95%||$254 M22.5%||-4.20%|
|2018-Q3||$1,132 M||0.13%||$263 M23.3%||3.58%|
|2018-Q4||$1,153 M||1.85%||$233 M20.2%||-11.66%|
|2019-Q1||$1,162 M||0.76%||$234 M20.2%||0.66%|
Aercap ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to overview its ownership structure.
Aercap shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 12.23% of all shares.
Bearish positions for AER stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Aercap:
|Market cap||$7.5 B||$10.0 M||$4.8 B||$1.7 B||$397.9 M|
|Total shares||136.6 M||1.6 M||111.7 M||75.0 M||17.4 M|
|Float shares||130.4 M||1.2 M||104.1 M||51.7 M||12.3 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||99.0%||18.6%||0.1%||60.7%||89.0%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||12.2%||21.2%||28.5%||30.9%||13.8%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%||0.0%|
|Friday, September 20th, 2019|
|Day range||$55.00 - $56.29|
|Average true range||$1.09|
|50d mov avg||$52.82|
|100d mov avg||$51.12|
|200d mov avg||$48.45|
Aercap performanceStocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For Aercap, the benchmark is made against AeroCentury, Air Lease, Aircastle, CAI International, Fly Leasing, General Electric, Textainer and Willis Lease Finance.
|WLFCWillis Lease Fina...||2.95%||44.07%||64.29%|
Aercap competitorsOne check before investing in any stock is to have a look a list of its competitors, in this case for Aercap. We selected 8 companies as Aercap competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.
- AeroCentury (ACY)
- Air Lease (AL)
- Aircastle (AYR)
- CAI International (CAI)
- Fly Leasing (FLY)
- General Electric (GE)
- Textainer (TGH)
- Willis Lease Finance (WLFC)
Latest Aercap stock news
- Seeking AlphaAerCap Holdings: Cheap But What Are The Risks?December 28, 2018
- Seeking AlphaAerCap Holdings - A Closer LookDecember 17, 2018
- Seeking AlphaSteady AerCap Continues To Offer ValueSeptember 20, 2018
- Seeking AlphaAerCap Continues To Execute, But Not Getting Much Credit For ItMay 23, 2018