Aercap stock: buy or sell?

AER stock price: $54.35 -0.35% At close on February 26th, 2020

Updated on:
February 26th, 2020

1

After sliding a dreadful -6.33% yesterday, Aercap closed today at $54.35 and depreciated a disappointing -0.35%. With Wednesday it's been 5 sliding days in a row, loosing $-8.36 (-13.48%).

AerCap Holdings N.V., an independent aircraft leasing company, engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial aircraft and engines in China, the United States, Ireland, and internationally.

Should I buy Aercap stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best time to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we like to use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, Aercap stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This doesn't mean AER will slide in coming sessions, or it will not rise higher. Simply, it doesn't match our recommended trading systems.

Is Aercap stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions post stock ratings everyday. Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for AER stock for the last month.

Aercap stock analysis

Daily outlook

After sliding a dreadful -6.33% yesterday, Aercap closed today at $54.35 and depreciated a disappointing -0.35%.

After sliding a dreadful -6.33% yesterday, Aercap closed today at $54.35 and depreciated a disappointing -0.35%. On Feb 13th, AER hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on Jan/17 tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

AER stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Aercap shares plummed -11.84% this week, ending at $54.35. By mid February AER skyrocketed an outstanding 6.97% in just one week.

Not so far away is the last all-time high Aercap marked by mid February, but since then it dropped a 16.20%. This week, Aercap stock lost the significant level of the 40-weeks moving average. Stocks below the 200d moving average line are usually not recommended for average traders. Since SMA20d and SMA40w crossed up early July, AER price climbed $3.19 per share (6.24%).

AER stock chart (weekly)

Aercap stock price history

Aercap IPO was on November 21st, 2006 at $25.00 per share1. Since then, AER stock surged a 117.40%, with an average of 9.00% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in Aercap stock in 2006, it would worth $1,174.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Aercap stock historical price chart

AER stock reached all-time highs on February/13 with a price of $64.86.

Aercap stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. For the last 30 days we have not detected any price forecast for Aercap stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

, Aercap reported its latest financial data, in line with analysts' consensus and published a $1.62 Earnings per Share. Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
AER earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.37n/a
2017-Q32017-11-021.461.6211.0%
2017-Q42018-02-141.431.6716.8%
2018-Q12018-05-031.541.7211.7%
2018-Q22018-07-301.471.715.6%
2018-Q32018-10-301.551.7915.5%
2018-Q42019-02-141.671.62-3.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a lame drop down of -3.75% to $4,537.09 M dollars. However, its income margin (compared to revenues) stayed stable to 22.39%, that is $1,015.63 million.

AER annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,040 M-$292 M28.1%-
2014$3,498 M236.38%$810 M23.2%177.16%
2015$4,992 M42.69%$1,179 M23.6%45.44%
2016$4,868 M-2.48%$1,047 M21.5%-11.21%
2017$4,714 M-3.16%$1,076 M22.8%2.82%
2018$4,537 M-3.75%$1,016 M22.4%-5.62%

Quarterly financial results

Aercap posted $1,153.36 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 1.85% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $232.64 million with a profit margin of 20.17%. Profit margin slightly fell a -3.08% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 23.25%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Aercap sales marked an ugly slide and declined a -3.71%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Aercap posted 3 negative quarters in a row.
AER quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$1,230 M-$283 M23.0%-
2017-Q3$1,274 M3.57%$266 M20.9%-6.02%
2017-Q4$1,198 M-5.97%$266 M22.2%0.15%
2018-Q1$1,120 M-6.47%$265 M23.7%-0.32%
2018-Q2$1,131 M0.95%$254 M22.5%-4.20%
2018-Q3$1,132 M0.13%$263 M23.3%3.58%
2018-Q4$1,153 M1.85%$233 M20.2%-11.66%
2019-Q1$1,162 M0.76%$234 M20.2%0.66%

Aercap ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a stock, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Aercap, 3.01% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for AER stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Aercap:

AER
Market cap$7.2 B
Total shares131.6 M
Float shares125.3 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)99.8%
  - Insider holdings (%)3.0%
Shares in short selling0.0%

Aercap summary

Wednesday, February 26th, 2020
Open$55.00
Close$54.35
Day range$53.83 - $55.31
Previous close$54.54
Session gain-0.35%
Average true range$1.84
50d mov avg$60.45
100d mov avg$59.40
200d mov avg$55.42
Daily patternlt06c
Weekly pattern

Aercap performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. In the following table, we compare Aercap to :
Stock3m6m12m
AERAercap-12.07%1.36%20.59%

Aercap competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Aercap competitor. This doesn't mean Aercap does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.

    Latest Aercap stock news