Aercap stock: buy or sell?

AER stock price: $55.12 -0.70% At close on September 20th, 2019

Updated on:
September 20th, 2019

4

Shares of Aercap closed today at $55.12 and decreased an ugly -0.70%. With Friday it's been 3 sliding days in a row, loosing $-0.73 (-1.31%).

AerCap Holdings N.V., an independent aircraft leasing company, engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial aircraft and engines in China, the United States, Ireland, and internationally.

Should I buy Aercap stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to choose and when is the best moment to buy them. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

Currently, Aercap stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Aercap stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. At Stocks2.com, we detected 4 ratings published for AER stock in the last 30 days.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for AER stock, with 2 positive ratings.
Is AER a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-7-31Compass Pointn/aBuy
2019-7-30Cowenn/aOutperform
2019-4-8Goldman Sachs Groupn/aNeutral
2019-4-17CitigroupNeutralNeutral

Aercap stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Aercap decreased an ugly -0.70% and closed at $55.12.

Aercap shares decreased -0.70% to $55.12 today. On July, SMA100d and SMA200d crossed up triggering a rise of 9.34%. Since last June when AER stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $6.58 (13.56%). AER is retaking the upward trend marking a new rising bottom heading to break out over $56.76.

AER stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Aercap shares dropped -2.43% this week, ending at $55.12.

In a weekly time frame, Aercap stock is drawing an uptrend with rising tops and bottoms. Now trading in between its last bottom and last top, AER might consolidate in a flat-base, waiting to break out over or down under . Early July, SMA20w and SMA40w crossed up triggering a rise of 7.74%. By mid June AER price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.

AER stock chart (weekly)

Aercap stock price history

Aercap IPO was on November 21st, 2006 at $25.00 per share1. Since then, AER stock grew a 120.50%, with an average of 10.00% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in Aercap stock in 2006, it would worth $1,205.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Aercap stock historical price chart

AER stock reached 52-week highs on October at $57.94, and all-time highs 2018-08-07 with a price of 58.3.

Aercap stock price target is $62.70

How much a stock will be priced tomorrow or next week is quite unpredictable However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. We do not recommend to follow these stock price predictions without a critical thinking from your side, as their accuracy is usually low. We found 3 price targets for Aercap stock posted in the last 30 days:
AER stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-7-31Compass PointRaises Target$69.00$73.005.8%
2019-7-30CowenRaises Target$56.00$60.007.1%
2019-4-17CitigroupRaises Target$53.00$55.003.8%
(in average)$59.30$62.706.0%
Moving in a range from $73.00 and $55.00, the price forecast for AER stock is $62.70. In average, analysts' outlook on AER price target is positive, improving the target by a 6.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Since February, when Aercap presented its last earnings report, it . Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
AER earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a1.37n/a
2017-Q32017-11-021.461.6211.0%
2017-Q42018-02-141.431.6716.8%
2018-Q12018-05-031.541.7211.7%
2018-Q22018-07-301.471.715.6%
2018-Q32018-10-301.551.7915.5%
2018-Q42019-02-141.671.62-3.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a lame loss of -3.75% to $4,537.09 M USD. Instead, its earnings margin (compared to revenues) remained stable to 22.39%, that is $1,015.63 million.

AER annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,040 M-$292 M28.1%-
2014$3,498 M236.38%$810 M23.2%177.16%
2015$4,992 M42.69%$1,179 M23.6%45.44%
2016$4,868 M-2.48%$1,047 M21.5%-11.21%
2017$4,714 M-3.16%$1,076 M22.8%2.82%
2018$4,537 M-3.75%$1,016 M22.4%-5.62%

Quarterly financial results

Aercap reported $1,153.36 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a 1.85% improvement compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $232.64 million with a profit margin of 20.17%. Profit margin depreciated a -3.08% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 23.25%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Aercap sales marked a disappointing correction and declined a -3.71%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, Aercap posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
AER quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$1,230 M-$283 M23.0%-
2017-Q3$1,274 M3.57%$266 M20.9%-6.02%
2017-Q4$1,198 M-5.97%$266 M22.2%0.15%
2018-Q1$1,120 M-6.47%$265 M23.7%-0.32%
2018-Q2$1,131 M0.95%$254 M22.5%-4.20%
2018-Q3$1,132 M0.13%$263 M23.3%3.58%
2018-Q4$1,153 M1.85%$233 M20.2%-11.66%
2019-Q1$1,162 M0.76%$234 M20.2%0.66%

Aercap ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to overview its ownership structure.

Aercap shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 12.23% of all shares.

Bearish positions for AER stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Aercap:

AERACYALAYRCAI
Market cap$7.5 B$10.0 M$4.8 B$1.7 B$397.9 M
Total shares136.6 M1.6 M111.7 M75.0 M17.4 M
Float shares130.4 M1.2 M104.1 M51.7 M12.3 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)99.0%18.6%0.1%60.7%89.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)12.2%21.2%28.5%30.9%13.8%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Aercap summary

Friday, September 20th, 2019
Open$55.50
Close$55.12
Day range$55.00 - $56.29
Previous close$55.51
Session gain-0.70%
Average true range$1.09
50d mov avg$52.82
100d mov avg$51.12
200d mov avg$48.45
Daily patternlb02a
Weekly pattern lt06a

Aercap performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. For Aercap, the benchmark is made against AeroCentury, Air Lease, Aircastle, CAI International, Fly Leasing, General Electric, Textainer and Willis Lease Finance.
Stock3m6m12m
AERAercap9.58%22.76%-4.24%
ACYAeroCentury-13.83%-46.90%-62.57%
ALAir Lease7.85%33.35%-4.86%
AYRAircastle13.03%19.61%15.82%
CAICAI International-6.16%2.93%-13.75%
FLYFly Leasing24.93%57.60%47.59%
GEGeneral Electric-9.94%-5.42%-19.14%
TGHTextainer11.03%11.26%-21.10%
WLFCWillis Lease Fina...2.95%44.07%64.29%

Aercap competitors

One check before investing in any stock is to have a look a list of its competitors, in this case for Aercap. We selected 8 companies as Aercap competitors as they are in the same industry or have similar market objectives.

Latest Aercap stock news