Ameren stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019
4
Ameren Corporation operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission.
Should I buy Ameren stock?
Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.None of our preferred buy setups matches with Ameren stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is Ameren stock a buy?
Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday.
At Stocks2.com, we gathered 4 ratings published for AEE stock in the last 30 days. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for AEE stock, with 2 positive ratings.| Date | Analyst / Broker | Previous rating | Current rating |
| 2019-8-16 | Morgan Stanley | n/a | Equal Weight |
| 2019-7-25 | Argus | Hold | Buy |
| 2019-2-12 | Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight |
| 2019-2-11 | Wells Fargo & Co | Outperform | Outperform |
Ameren stock analysis
Daily outlook
Shares of Ameren slipped a rough -1.94% and closed at $75.33.
Shares of Ameren slipped a rough -1.94% and closed at $75.33. In this session, Ameren stock crossed down the SMA50d line. If you are using SMA50d line as stop loss trigger, double check your position in this stock. On June, AEE hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on June tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.
Weekly outlook
Ameren decreased an ugly -1.71% this week.
AEE shows a long term strength with several rising tops and rising bottoms. It left a new bottom at $73.67 early August. Previous top ($77.77) will play as a resistance in possible new gains. Not so far away is the last price record Ameren marked late June. By mid January AEE price bounced up over the SMA of 20 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.
Ameren stock price history
Ameren stock went public on January 2nd, 1998 with a price of $14.211. Since then, AEE stock grew a 430.10%, with an average of 20.50% per year. If you had invested right after AEE's IPO a $1,000 in Ameren stock in 1998, it would worth $4,301.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
Ameren stock historical price chart
AEE stock reached all-time highs on June with a price of $77.77.
Ameren stock price target is $74.70
Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' AEE stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. We detected 3 price targets for AEE stock published in the last month:| Date | Analyst / Broker | Action | Previous target | Current target | Diff |
| 2019-8-16 | Morgan Stanley | Lowers Target | $79.00 | $78.00 | -1.3% |
| 2019-2-12 | Morgan Stanley | Raises Target | $66.00 | $69.00 | 4.5% |
| 2019-2-11 | Wells Fargo & Co | Raises Target | $73.00 | $77.00 | 5.5% |
| (in average) | $72.70 | $74.70 | 3.0% |
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
On February, Ameren failed to meet the estimates of the experts and reported a fatal EPS of $0.28 per share when experts were expecting $0.32.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | - | n/a | 0.42 | n/a |
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 0.8 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-11-03 | 1.33 | 1.24 | -6.8% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-02-16 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 8.3% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-05-09 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 6.9% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-08-03 | 0.79 | 0.97 | 22.8% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-10-31 | 1.28 | 1.5 | 17.2% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-02-14 | 0.32 | 0.28 | -12.5% |
| 2019-Q1 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a slightly fine gain of 1.90% to $6,291.00 million USD. Aligned with this, its income margin (compared to sales) gained to 12.96%, that is $815.00 million.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $5,840 M | - | $512 M8.8% | - |
| 2014 | $6,053 M | 3.65% | $586 M9.7% | 14.45% |
| 2015 | $6,098 M | 0.74% | $630 M10.3% | 7.51% |
| 2016 | $6,076 M | -0.36% | $653 M10.7% | 3.65% |
| 2017 | $6,174 M | 1.61% | $523 M8.5% | -19.91% |
| 2018 | $6,291 M | 1.90% | $815 M13.0% | 55.83% |
Quarterly financial results
Ameren posted $1,419.00 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a -17.69% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $68.00 million with a profit margin of 4.79%. Profit margin collapsed a -15.92% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 20.71%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Ameren sales marked a slightly good increase and stepped up a 1.21%.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | $1,510 M | - | $102 M6.8% | - |
| 2017-Q2 | $1,540 M | 1.99% | $193 M12.5% | 89.22% |
| 2017-Q3 | $1,723 M | 11.88% | $288 M16.7% | 49.22% |
| 2017-Q4 | $1,402 M | -18.63% | $-60 M-4.3% | -120.83% |
| 2018-Q1 | $1,585 M | 13.05% | $151 M9.5% | -351.67% |
| 2018-Q2 | $1,563 M | -1.39% | $239 M15.3% | 58.28% |
| 2018-Q3 | $1,724 M | 10.30% | $357 M20.7% | 49.37% |
| 2018-Q4 | $1,419 M | -17.69% | $68 M4.8% | -80.95% |
Ameren ownership
When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.Ameren shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.42% of all shares.
In case of Ameren stock, 74.35% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AEE stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:
| AEE | CMS | D | DUK | LNT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market cap | $18.5 B | $17.6 B | $49.5 B | $66.1 B | $12.4 B |
| Total shares | 245.6 M | 283.8 M | 651.6 M | 728.1 M | 237.4 M |
| Float shares | 244.5 M | 281.8 M | 800.7 M | 727.6 M | 237.0 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 74.4% | 94.5% | 60.2% | 61.7% | 78.0% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ameren summary
| Friday, August 23rd, 2019 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $77.05 |
| Close | $75.33 |
| Day range | $75.07 - $77.30 |
| Previous close | $76.82 |
| Session gain | -1.94% |
| Average true range | $1.27 |
| 50d mov avg | $76.26 |
| 100d mov avg | $74.53 |
| 200d mov avg | $71.36 |
| Daily pattern | |
| Weekly pattern | lb03a |
Ameren performance
To better understand Ameren performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. For Ameren, the benchmark is made against CMS Energy, Dominion Energy, Duke Energy, Alliant Energy, Otter Tail, WEC Energy and Xcel Energy.| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEEAmeren | 0.56% | 5.71% | 20.90% |
| CMSCMS Energy | 9.29% | 16.21% | 29.51% |
| DDominion Energy | -1.11% | 3.69% | 11.12% |
| DUKDuke Energy | 3.28% | 3.11% | 16.32% |
| LNTAlliant Energy | 7.85% | 15.93% | 24.59% |
| OTTROtter Tail | -0.51% | 2.56% | 6.45% |
| WECWEC Energy | 13.19% | 22.63% | 40.81% |
| XELXcel Energy | 6.59% | 14.59% | 34.16% |