Ameren stock: buy or sell?

AEE stock price: $75.33 -1.94% At close on August 23rd, 2019

Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019

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Shares of Ameren slipped a rough -1.94% and closed at $75.33.

Ameren Corporation operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission.

Should I buy Ameren stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Having a trading plan helps to make decisions easier, quicker and with less hesitations. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Ameren stock situation right now, hence this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Ameren stock a buy?

Banks and financial institutions publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we gathered 4 ratings published for AEE stock in the last 30 days.

The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for AEE stock, with 2 positive ratings.
Is AEE a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-8-16Morgan Stanleyn/aEqual Weight
2019-7-25ArgusHoldBuy
2019-2-12Morgan StanleyEqual WeightEqual Weight
2019-2-11Wells Fargo & CoOutperformOutperform

Ameren stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Ameren slipped a rough -1.94% and closed at $75.33.

Shares of Ameren slipped a rough -1.94% and closed at $75.33. In this session, Ameren stock crossed down the SMA50d line. If you are using SMA50d line as stop loss trigger, double check your position in this stock. On June, AEE hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on June tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

AEE stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

Ameren decreased an ugly -1.71% this week.

AEE shows a long term strength with several rising tops and rising bottoms. It left a new bottom at $73.67 early August. Previous top ($77.77) will play as a resistance in possible new gains. Not so far away is the last price record Ameren marked late June. By mid January AEE price bounced up over the SMA of 20 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.

AEE stock chart (weekly)

Ameren stock price history

Ameren stock went public on January 2nd, 1998 with a price of $14.211. Since then, AEE stock grew a 430.10%, with an average of 20.50% per year. If you had invested right after AEE's IPO a $1,000 in Ameren stock in 1998, it would worth $4,301.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Ameren stock historical price chart

AEE stock reached all-time highs on June with a price of $77.77.

Ameren stock price target is $74.70

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, financial institutions invest time and resources to provide the most accurated estimations to help investors to make their decisions. You should not follow the analysts' AEE stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. We detected 3 price targets for AEE stock published in the last month:
AEE stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-8-16Morgan StanleyLowers Target$79.00$78.00-1.3%
2019-2-12Morgan StanleyRaises Target$66.00$69.004.5%
2019-2-11Wells Fargo & CoRaises Target$73.00$77.005.5%
(in average)$72.70$74.703.0%
Moving in a range from $78.00 and $69.00, the price forecast for Ameren stock is $74.70. In average, analysts' outlook on AEE price forecast is positive, upgrading the prediction by a 3.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Ameren failed to meet the estimates of the experts and reported a fatal EPS of $0.28 per share when experts were expecting $0.32.
AEE earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a0.42n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.8n/a
2017-Q32017-11-031.331.24-6.8%
2017-Q42018-02-160.360.398.3%
2018-Q12018-05-090.580.626.9%
2018-Q22018-08-030.790.9722.8%
2018-Q32018-10-311.281.517.2%
2018-Q42019-02-140.320.28-12.5%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual revenues report draw a slightly fine gain of 1.90% to $6,291.00 million USD. Aligned with this, its income margin (compared to sales) gained to 12.96%, that is $815.00 million.

AEE annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$5,840 M-$512 M8.8%-
2014$6,053 M3.65%$586 M9.7%14.45%
2015$6,098 M0.74%$630 M10.3%7.51%
2016$6,076 M-0.36%$653 M10.7%3.65%
2017$6,174 M1.61%$523 M8.5%-19.91%
2018$6,291 M1.90%$815 M13.0%55.83%

Quarterly financial results

Ameren posted $1,419.00 million in sales for 2018-Q4, a -17.69% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $68.00 million with a profit margin of 4.79%. Profit margin collapsed a -15.92% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 20.71%. When comparing sales to same quarter last year, Ameren sales marked a slightly good increase and stepped up a 1.21%.
AEE quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$1,510 M-$102 M6.8%-
2017-Q2$1,540 M1.99%$193 M12.5%89.22%
2017-Q3$1,723 M11.88%$288 M16.7%49.22%
2017-Q4$1,402 M-18.63%$-60 M-4.3%-120.83%
2018-Q1$1,585 M13.05%$151 M9.5%-351.67%
2018-Q2$1,563 M-1.39%$239 M15.3%58.28%
2018-Q3$1,724 M10.30%$357 M20.7%49.37%
2018-Q4$1,419 M-17.69%$68 M4.8%-80.95%

Ameren ownership

When you are planning to buy a stock, it's always worth to overview its ownership structure.

Ameren shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 0.42% of all shares.

In case of Ameren stock, 74.35% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AEE stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better context understanding, the next table shows ownership data compared to other related stocks:

AEECMSDDUKLNT
Market cap$18.5 B$17.6 B$49.5 B$66.1 B$12.4 B
Total shares245.6 M283.8 M651.6 M728.1 M237.4 M
Float shares244.5 M281.8 M800.7 M727.6 M237.0 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)74.4%94.5%60.2%61.7%78.0%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.4%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.2%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Ameren summary

Friday, August 23rd, 2019
Open$77.05
Close$75.33
Day range$75.07 - $77.30
Previous close$76.82
Session gain-1.94%
Average true range$1.27
50d mov avg$76.26
100d mov avg$74.53
200d mov avg$71.36
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern lb03a

Ameren performance

To better understand Ameren performance you must becnhmark its gains with other related stocks in same sector or industry. For Ameren, the benchmark is made against CMS Energy, Dominion Energy, Duke Energy, Alliant Energy, Otter Tail, WEC Energy and Xcel Energy.
Stock3m6m12m
AEEAmeren0.56%5.71%20.90%
CMSCMS Energy9.29%16.21%29.51%
DDominion Energy-1.11%3.69%11.12%
DUKDuke Energy3.28%3.11%16.32%
LNTAlliant Energy7.85%15.93%24.59%
OTTROtter Tail-0.51%2.56%6.45%
WECWEC Energy13.19%22.63%40.81%
XELXcel Energy6.59%14.59%34.16%

Ameren competitors

We selected a few stocks to conform a list of Ameren competitors to watch if you are interested in investing in AEE: