Ameren stock: buy or sell?

AEE stock price: $74.24 1.99% At close on March 27th, 2020

Updated on:
March 27th, 2020

3

After boosting a dazzling 7.21% on Mar 26th, Ameren closed yesterday at $74.24 and soared a decent 1.99%. On March/20 AEE collapsed a bloodcurdling -14.22%. Counting Friday, it's been 4 green days in a row, adding $12.87 or 20.45%.

Ameren Corporation operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission.

Should I buy Ameren stock?

Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.

None of our preferred buy setups matches with Ameren stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Ameren stock a buy?

Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness. Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for AEE stock for the last 30 days.

Ameren stock analysis

Daily outlook

After boosting a dazzling 7.21% on March/26, Ameren closed yesterday at $74.24 and soared a decent 1.99%.

After boosting a dazzling 7.21% on Mar 26th, Ameren closed yesterday at $74.24 and soared a decent 1.99%. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on March 18th, AEE fell $-3.45 per share (-4.44%). AEE marked a lower low and a lower high in the short term, defining a downward trend. Climbing above $79.18 would break this short term down trend and open possibilities for reversing this situation. Since SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up on February, AEE price slid a -8.96%. On March 4th, AEE hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $86.80 recorded on February/18. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.

AEE stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After sliding a chilling -21.01% in a week last week, Ameren closed this week at $74.24 and skyrocketed a super good 17.97%.

Not so far away is the last all-time high Ameren marked early March. Since early March, when AEE stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-10.59 per share (-12.48%). Trading stocks that are under the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average line is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support. Since SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up late January, AEE price slid a -7.08%.

AEE stock chart (weekly)

Ameren stock price history

Ameren stock went public on January 2nd, 1998 with a price of $13.941. Since then, AEE stock surged a 432.60%, with an average of 19.70% per year. If you had invested right after AEE's IPO a $1,000 in Ameren stock in 1998, it would worth $4,326.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

Ameren stock historical price chart

AEE stock reached all-time highs on Mar/4 with a price of $87.13.

Ameren stock price target

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we have not found any price prediction for Ameren stock by any trusted analyst.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

Ameren disappointed experts when it posted an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.28 when the analysts' forecast was $0.32.
AEE earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q1-n/a0.42n/a
2017-Q2-n/a0.8n/a
2017-Q32017-11-031.331.24-6.8%
2017-Q42018-02-160.360.398.3%
2018-Q12018-05-090.580.626.9%
2018-Q22018-08-030.790.9722.8%
2018-Q32018-10-311.281.517.2%
2018-Q42019-02-140.320.28-12.5%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a slightly good growth of 1.90% to $6,291.00 M USD. Likewise, its income margin (compared to revenues) appreciated to 12.96%, that is $815.00 million.

AEE annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$5,840 M-$512 M8.8%-
2014$6,053 M3.65%$586 M9.7%14.45%
2015$6,098 M0.74%$630 M10.3%7.51%
2016$6,076 M-0.36%$653 M10.7%3.65%
2017$6,174 M1.61%$523 M8.5%-19.91%
2018$6,291 M1.90%$815 M13.0%55.83%

Quarterly financial results

Ameren reported $1,419.00 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -17.69% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $68.00 million with a profit margin of 4.79%. Profit margin plummed a -15.92% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 20.71%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Ameren sales marked a tiny increase and stepped up a 1.21%.
AEE quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q1$1,510 M-$102 M6.8%-
2017-Q2$1,540 M1.99%$193 M12.5%89.22%
2017-Q3$1,723 M11.88%$288 M16.7%49.22%
2017-Q4$1,402 M-18.63%$-60 M-4.3%-120.83%
2018-Q1$1,585 M13.05%$151 M9.5%-351.67%
2018-Q2$1,563 M-1.39%$239 M15.3%58.28%
2018-Q3$1,724 M10.30%$357 M20.7%49.37%
2018-Q4$1,419 M-17.69%$68 M4.8%-80.95%

Ameren ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Ameren, 0.46% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

In case of Ameren stock, 77.23% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AEE stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:

AEE
Market cap$18.3 B
Total shares246.2 M
Float shares244.9 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)77.2%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.5%
Shares in short selling0.0%

Ameren summary

Friday, March 27th, 2020
Open$70.87
Close$74.24
Day range$70.44 - $77.02
Previous close$72.79
Session gain1.99%
Average true range$7.44
50d mov avg$79.60
100d mov avg$77.21
200d mov avg$76.39
Daily patternlb06a
Weekly pattern

Ameren performance

Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. In the following table, we compare Ameren to :
Stock3m6m12m
AEEAmeren-2.11%-6.01%3.53%

Ameren competitors

Unfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as Ameren competitor. This doesn't mean Ameren does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.