Ameren stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
January 24th, 2020
5
Ameren Corporation operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission.
Should I buy Ameren stock?
Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to define your own trading strategy that fits your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.Currently, 2 buy setups match with Ameren stock now:
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | Yes |
| New 52 week high | Yes |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is Ameren stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.
At Stocks2.com, we detected 8 ratings published for AEE stock in the last month. The general sentiment of these ratings is bullish for AEE stock, with 4 positive ratings.| Date | Analyst / Broker | Previous rating | Current rating |
| 2019-9-6 | Morgan Stanley | n/a | Equal Weight |
| 2019-9-25 | Morgan Stanley | n/a | Equal Weight |
| 2019-9-17 | Bank of America | Neutral | Buy |
| 2019-9-12 | Wolfe Research | Market Perform | Outperform |
| 2019-8-16 | Morgan Stanley | n/a | Equal Weight |
| 2019-7-25 | Argus | Hold | Buy |
| 2019-2-12 | Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight |
| 2019-2-11 | Wells Fargo & Co | Outperform | Outperform |
Ameren stock analysis
Daily outlook
After marking all time highs on Jan 24th, Ameren remained steady 0.11% on January 24th to $80.39.
Ameren remained constant 0.11% to $80.39 after reaching all time highs on Jan 24th. Since December when AEE stock price broke up the SMA200d line, it gained $6.52 (8.83%). On Jan 24th, AEE hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on Wednesday tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.
Weekly outlook
Ameren shares topped new all time highs again this week, marking to $80.83. Shares ended at $80.39 and inched 0.80% during the week. Counting this, it's been 3 climbing weeks in a row, soaring a 5.65%.
Early December AEE price bounced up over the SMA of 40 weeks that acted as support stopping new slides.
Ameren stock price history
Ameren stock went public on January 2nd, 1998 with a price of $14.031. Since then, AEE stock surged a 473.00%, with a yearly average of 21.50%. If you had invested $1,000 in Ameren stock in 1998, it would worth $4,730.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
Ameren stock historical price chart
AEE stock reached all-time highs on January/24 with a price of $80.83.
Ameren stock price target is $77.20
Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' AEE stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we found 5 price predictions for AEE stock:| Date | Analyst / Broker | Action | Previous target | Current target | Diff |
| 2019-9-6 | Morgan Stanley | Raises Target | $78.00 | $80.00 | 2.6% |
| 2019-9-25 | Morgan Stanley | Raises Target | $78.00 | $82.00 | 5.1% |
| 2019-8-16 | Morgan Stanley | Lowers Target | $79.00 | $78.00 | -1.3% |
| 2019-2-12 | Morgan Stanley | Raises Target | $66.00 | $69.00 | 4.5% |
| 2019-2-11 | Wells Fargo & Co | Raises Target | $73.00 | $77.00 | 5.5% |
| (in average) | $74.80 | $77.20 | 3.0% |
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
Ameren failed experts on February when it reported an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.28 when the analysts' forecast was $0.32.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | - | n/a | 0.42 | n/a |
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 0.8 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-11-03 | 1.33 | 1.24 | -6.8% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-02-16 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 8.3% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-05-09 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 6.9% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-08-03 | 0.79 | 0.97 | 22.8% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-10-31 | 1.28 | 1.5 | 17.2% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-02-14 | 0.32 | 0.28 | -12.5% |
| 2019-Q1 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
Compared to 2017, last anual sales report draw a tiny gain of 1.90% to $6,291.00 million USD. In line, its income margin (compared to sales) stepped up to 12.96%, that is $815.00 million.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $5,840 M | - | $512 M8.8% | - |
| 2014 | $6,053 M | 3.65% | $586 M9.7% | 14.45% |
| 2015 | $6,098 M | 0.74% | $630 M10.3% | 7.51% |
| 2016 | $6,076 M | -0.36% | $653 M10.7% | 3.65% |
| 2017 | $6,174 M | 1.61% | $523 M8.5% | -19.91% |
| 2018 | $6,291 M | 1.90% | $815 M13.0% | 55.83% |
Quarterly financial results
Ameren posted $1,419.00 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -17.69% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $68.00 million with a profit margin of 4.79%. Profit margin plummed a -15.92% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 20.71%. When comparing turnover to same quarter last year, Ameren sales marked a slightly fine increase and gained a 1.21%.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | $1,510 M | - | $102 M6.8% | - |
| 2017-Q2 | $1,540 M | 1.99% | $193 M12.5% | 89.22% |
| 2017-Q3 | $1,723 M | 11.88% | $288 M16.7% | 49.22% |
| 2017-Q4 | $1,402 M | -18.63% | $-60 M-4.3% | -120.83% |
| 2018-Q1 | $1,585 M | 13.05% | $151 M9.5% | -351.67% |
| 2018-Q2 | $1,563 M | -1.39% | $239 M15.3% | 58.28% |
| 2018-Q3 | $1,724 M | 10.30% | $357 M20.7% | 49.37% |
| 2018-Q4 | $1,419 M | -17.69% | $68 M4.8% | -80.95% |
Ameren ownership
When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Ameren, 0.42% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of Ameren stock, 77.07% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AEE stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Ameren:
| AEE | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $19.8 B |
| Total shares | 246.0 M |
| Float shares | 244.8 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 77.1% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 0.4% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% |
Ameren summary
| Friday, January 24th, 2020 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $80.25 |
| Close | $80.39 |
| Day range | $80.03 - $80.83 |
| Previous close | $80.30 |
| Session gain | 0.11% |
| Average true range | $0.73 |
| 50d mov avg | $75.94 |
| 100d mov avg | $76.30 |
| 200d mov avg | $75.05 |
| Daily pattern | |
| Weekly pattern | |
Ameren performance
Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. We chose as the bechmarking frame for Ameren stock.| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEEAmeren | 5.67% | 6.34% | 21.42% |