Ameren stock: buy or sell?
Updated on:
March 27th, 2020
3
Ameren Corporation operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission.
Should I buy Ameren stock?
Even if you are a experienced or a novel trader, best trading results come from using an investing strategy that never leaves to random or subjective opinions when is the best moment to buy or sell stocks. That's why is so important to define your own trading plan that matches with your character as inversor. There are thousands of trading strategies for you to choose, but at Stocks2.com we prefer those that are simple but successful.None of our preferred buy setups matches with Ameren stock situation right now, therefore this is not a suitable entry point.
| Buy setup | Elegible |
|---|---|
| New all-time high | No |
| New 52 week high | No |
| Price crossing up 200d MA | No |
| 100d MA crossing up 200d MA | No |
Is Ameren stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are published by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.
Unfortunately, we couldn't detect any rating for AEE stock for the last 30 days.Ameren stock analysis
Daily outlook
After boosting a dazzling 7.21% on March/26, Ameren closed yesterday at $74.24 and soared a decent 1.99%.
After boosting a dazzling 7.21% on Mar 26th, Ameren closed yesterday at $74.24 and soared a decent 1.99%. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on March 18th, AEE fell $-3.45 per share (-4.44%). AEE marked a lower low and a lower high in the short term, defining a downward trend. Climbing above $79.18 would break this short term down trend and open possibilities for reversing this situation. Since SMA50d and SMA100d crossed up on February, AEE price slid a -8.96%. On March 4th, AEE hit new all time highs, pushing higher previous ATH of $86.80 recorded on February/18. New ATHs are usual entry points for many trading setups as there aren't higher resistences.
Weekly outlook
After sliding a chilling -21.01% in a week last week, Ameren closed this week at $74.24 and skyrocketed a super good 17.97%.
Not so far away is the last all-time high Ameren marked early March. Since early March, when AEE stock price broke down the 40-weeks moving avarage line, it slid $-10.59 per share (-12.48%). Trading stocks that are under the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average line is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support. Since SMA10w and SMA20w crossed up late January, AEE price slid a -7.08%.
Ameren stock price history
Ameren stock went public on January 2nd, 1998 with a price of $13.941. Since then, AEE stock surged a 432.60%, with an average of 19.70% per year. If you had invested right after AEE's IPO a $1,000 in Ameren stock in 1998, it would worth $4,326.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
Ameren stock historical price chart
AEE stock reached all-time highs on Mar/4 with a price of $87.13.
Ameren stock price target
Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, many stock price predictions are published every day by banks, financial institutions and independent analysts. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last month we have not found any price prediction for Ameren stock by any trusted analyst.Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per Share
Ameren disappointed experts when it posted an Earnings per Share (EPS) of $0.28 when the analysts' forecast was $0.32.| Quarter | Reporting date | Estimated EPS | Actual EPS | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | - | n/a | 0.42 | n/a |
| 2017-Q2 | - | n/a | 0.8 | n/a |
| 2017-Q3 | 2017-11-03 | 1.33 | 1.24 | -6.8% |
| 2017-Q4 | 2018-02-16 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 8.3% |
| 2018-Q1 | 2018-05-09 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 6.9% |
| 2018-Q2 | 2018-08-03 | 0.79 | 0.97 | 22.8% |
| 2018-Q3 | 2018-10-31 | 1.28 | 1.5 | 17.2% |
| 2018-Q4 | 2019-02-14 | 0.32 | 0.28 | -12.5% |
| 2019-Q1 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| 2019-Q2 | - | n/a | n/a | n/a |
Annual financial results
Compared to 2017, last anual turnover report draw a slightly good growth of 1.90% to $6,291.00 M USD. Likewise, its income margin (compared to revenues) appreciated to 12.96%, that is $815.00 million.| Year | Sales | YoY | Income/(margin) | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | $5,840 M | - | $512 M8.8% | - |
| 2014 | $6,053 M | 3.65% | $586 M9.7% | 14.45% |
| 2015 | $6,098 M | 0.74% | $630 M10.3% | 7.51% |
| 2016 | $6,076 M | -0.36% | $653 M10.7% | 3.65% |
| 2017 | $6,174 M | 1.61% | $523 M8.5% | -19.91% |
| 2018 | $6,291 M | 1.90% | $815 M13.0% | 55.83% |
Quarterly financial results
Ameren reported $1,419.00 million in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -17.69% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter earnings marked $68.00 million with a profit margin of 4.79%. Profit margin plummed a -15.92% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 20.71%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Ameren sales marked a tiny increase and stepped up a 1.21%.| Quarter | Sales1 | QoQ2 | Income1/(margin) | QoQ2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-Q1 | $1,510 M | - | $102 M6.8% | - |
| 2017-Q2 | $1,540 M | 1.99% | $193 M12.5% | 89.22% |
| 2017-Q3 | $1,723 M | 11.88% | $288 M16.7% | 49.22% |
| 2017-Q4 | $1,402 M | -18.63% | $-60 M-4.3% | -120.83% |
| 2018-Q1 | $1,585 M | 13.05% | $151 M9.5% | -351.67% |
| 2018-Q2 | $1,563 M | -1.39% | $239 M15.3% | 58.28% |
| 2018-Q3 | $1,724 M | 10.30% | $357 M20.7% | 49.37% |
| 2018-Q4 | $1,419 M | -17.69% | $68 M4.8% | -80.95% |
Ameren ownership
When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's always worth to have a look its ownership structure.Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Ameren, 0.46% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.
In case of Ameren stock, 77.23% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AEE stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
For a better understanding, the following table shows ownership data compared to other related companies:
| AEE | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | $18.3 B |
| Total shares | 246.2 M |
| Float shares | 244.9 M |
| - Institutional holdings (%) | 77.2% |
| - Insider holdings (%) | 0.5% |
| Shares in short selling | 0.0% |
Ameren summary
| Friday, March 27th, 2020 | |
|---|---|
| Open | $70.87 |
| Close | $74.24 |
| Day range | $70.44 - $77.02 |
| Previous close | $72.79 |
| Session gain | 1.99% |
| Average true range | $7.44 |
| 50d mov avg | $79.60 |
| 100d mov avg | $77.21 |
| 200d mov avg | $76.39 |
| Daily pattern | lb06a |
| Weekly pattern | |
Ameren performance
Stocks performance is always measured in comparision to the market or competitors and related stocks in the same industry. In the following table, we compare Ameren to :| Stock | 3m | 6m | 12m |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEEAmeren | -2.11% | -6.01% | 3.53% |