ADSW stock: buy or sell?

ADSW stock price: $32.46 -0.06% At close on August 23rd, 2019

Updated on:
August 23rd, 2019

4

Shares of Advanced Disposal Services ended today at $32.46 and remained stable a neutral -0.06%.

Advanced Disposal Services, Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal services in the Southeast, Midwest, and Eastern regions of the United States; and the Commonwealth of the Bahamas.

Should I buy ADSW stock?

Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. Trading strategies are meant for helping you in the decision process of what stocks to pick and when is the best time to buy them. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.

Currently, Advanced Disposal Services stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.

Buy setupElegible
New all-time highNo
New 52 week highNo
Price crossing up 200d MANo
100d MA crossing up 200d MANo
This is not a selling recommendation at all, just it's not the best moment to buy if you follow any of these trading strategies.

Is Advanced Disposal Services stock a buy?

Financial institutions and banks publish stock ratings everyday. At Stocks2.com, we collected 6 ratings published for ADSW stock in the last 30 days.

Is ADSW a good stock to buy?
DateAnalyst / BrokerPrevious ratingCurrent rating
2019-7-31Stifel NicolausBuyHold
2019-5-17Credit Suisse GroupOutperformNeutral
2019-5-17Credit Suisse GroupOutperformNeutral
2019-4-4UBS GroupBuyBuy
2019-4-23Deutsche BankBuyHold
2019-2-19Bank of AmericaNeutralUnderperform

ADSW stock analysis

Daily outlook

Shares of Advanced Disposal Services closed today at $32.46 and remained stable a neutral -0.06%.

Advanced Disposal Services remained stable a neutral -0.06% and closed at $32.46. Since price and SMA50d lines crossed up on July, ADSW climbed $0.30 (0.93%). On April, ADSW hit a new all time high, pushing higher than on April tops. Check different trading setups that use ATHs as triggers.

ADSW stock chart (daily)

Weekly outlook

After climbing for 4 weeks, this week Advanced Disposal Services stayed constant a tight -0.12%, closing at $32.46.

Far behind is the all-time high Advanced Disposal Services hit by mid April but price is just -1.67% below that top. Since price and SMA40w lines crossed up late January, ADSW climbed $7.58 (30.47%).

ADSW stock chart (weekly)

ADSW stock price history

ADSW IPO was on October 6th, 2016 at $20.50 per share1. Since then, ADSW stock surged a 58.30%, with an average of 29.20% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in ADSW stock in 2016, it would worth $583.00 today.

1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.

ADSW stock historical price chart

ADSW stock reached all-time highs on April with a price of $33.01.

ADSW stock price target is $31.50

Nobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. The accuracy of these stock price predictions is not very high, and you should not blindly believe and make decisions only based on what this ratings or price target predictions say. For the last 30 days we found 4 price forecasts for Advanced Disposal Services stock:
ADSW stock price predictions
DateAnalyst / BrokerActionPrevious targetCurrent targetDiff
2019-5-17Credit Suisse GroupReiterates$29.00$33.0013.8%
2019-5-17Credit Suisse GroupDowngrades$29.00$33.0013.8%
2019-4-4UBS GroupRaises Target$30.00$33.0010%
2019-2-19Bank of AmericaDowngradesn/a$27.00-
(in average)$29.30$31.508.0%
The price target for Advanced Disposal Services stock is $31.50, moving in a range between $33.00 and $27.00. In average, analysts' outlook on ADSW price target is positive, improving the prediction by a 8.00% from previous estimations.

Financials and fundamental analysis

Earnings date and Earnings per Share

On February, Advanced Disposal Services was in line with the estimates of the analysts and reported an EPS of $0.13 per share. Unfortunately, reported EPS is not yet available in our database.
ADSW earnings date and EPS evolution
QuarterReporting dateEstimated EPSActual EPSSurprise
2017-Q2-n/a0.08n/a
2017-Q32017-11-010.150.166.7%
2017-Q42018-02-220.140.13-7.1%
2018-Q12018-05-020.040.09125.0%
2018-Q22018-08-010.190.190.0%
2018-Q32018-10-310.180.17-5.6%
2018-Q42019-02-210.130.130.0%
2019-Q1-n/an/an/a
2019-Q2-n/an/an/a
2019-Q3-n/an/an/a

Annual financial results

In 2018, Advanced Disposal Services annual revenues inched a good 3.36% to $1,558.20 M dollars from $1,507.60 marked in 2017. On the other hand, its profit margin (compared to revenues) slightly fell to 0.60%, that is $9.40 million.

ADSW annual Sales and Income evolution
YearSalesYoYIncome/(margin)YoY
2013$1,320 M-$-95.30 M-7.2%-
2014$1,403 M6.29%$-17.10 M-1.2%-82.06%
2015$1,396 M-0.47%$-33.60 M-2.4%96.49%
2016$1,405 M0.59%$-30.40 M-2.2%-9.52%
2017$1,508 M7.33%$38 M2.5%-225.99%
2018$1,558 M3.36%$9.40 M0.6%-75.46%

Quarterly financial results

Advanced Disposal Services posted $394.80 M in revenues for 2018-Q4, a -1.45% decline compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $2.50 million with a profit margin of 0.63%. Profit margin gained a 1.86% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was -1.22%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, Advanced Disposal Services sales marked a tiny growth and stepped up a 2.71%.
ADSW quarterly Sales and Income evolution
QuarterSales1QoQ2Income1/(margin)QoQ2
2017-Q2$383 M-$-0.20 M-0.1%-
2017-Q3$393 M2.51%$3.50 M0.9%-1,850.00%
2017-Q4$384 M-2.11%$42.00 M10.9%1,100.00%
2018-Q1$365 M-5.12%$2.10 M0.6%-95.00%
2018-Q2$398 M9.16%$9.70 M2.4%361.90%
2018-Q3$401 M0.63%$-4.90 M-1.2%-150.52%
2018-Q4$395 M-1.45%$2.50 M0.6%-151.02%
2019-Q1$384 M-2.74%$-6.00 M-1.6%-340.00%

Advanced Disposal Services ownership

When you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to review its ownership structure.

Management staff in all public traded companies that hold equity is required to report every transaction to the SEC. For Advanced Disposal Services, 0.32% of all outstanding shares are owned by its staff.

Bearish positions for ADSW stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.

The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to Advanced Disposal Services:

ADSWPESI
Market cap$2.9 B$44.6 M
Total shares88.8 M12.1 M
Float shares88.7 M11.3 M
  - Institutional holdings (%)102.5%44.3%
  - Insider holdings (%)0.3%6.3%
Shares in short selling0.0%0.0%

ADSW summary

Friday, August 23rd, 2019
Open$32.46
Close$32.46
Day range$32.45 - $32.47
Previous close$32.48
Session gain-0.06%
Average true range$0.09
50d mov avg$32.32
100d mov avg$31.90
200d mov avg$28.90
Daily pattern
Weekly pattern

Advanced Disposal Services performance

Performance as an absolute value is never valid if it's not benchmarked against competitors or related stocks in the industry. In the following table, we compare Advanced Disposal Services performance to Array:
Stock3m6m12m
ADSWAdvanced Disposal...0.87%20.22%25.18%
PESIPerma-Fix Environ...-6.57%12.12%-23.71%

Advanced Disposal Services competitors

Creating a list of competitors for Advanced Disposal Services it's not an easy task. We selected just one public company that in our opinion is related to and can be considered Advanced Disposal Services competitor: