AAL stock: buy or sell?
February 21st, 2020
Should I buy AAL stock?Make a decision about when to buy or sell stocks is one of the hardest parts of being a trader or investor. That's why is so important to choose your own trading plan that fits your character as inversor. At Stocks2.com, we use very simple but trusted and powerful trend following trading strategies. Simple things usually work the best.
Currently, American Airlines stock doesn't match any of these trading strategies, so our recommendation is not to buy.
|New all-time high||No|
|New 52 week high||No|
|Price crossing up 200d MA||No|
|100d MA crossing up 200d MA||No|
Is American Airlines stock a buy?
Everyday, hundreds of stock ratings are posted by financial analysts to indicate a particular stock's attractiveness.Unfortunately, we couldn't find any rating for AAL stock for the last month.
AAL stock analysis
American Airlines shares eased -2.42% to $27.82 on Feb/21.
American Airlines shares eased -2.42% to $27.82 on February 21st. Since price and SMA200d lines crossed down on Tuesday, AAL fell $-1.38 per share (-4.73%).
Shares of American Airlines collapsed a terrible -4.73% this week. Early February AAL rocketed an extraordinary 5.78% in just one week.
This week, American Airlines stock lost the significant level of the 40-weeks moving average. Trading stocks that are below the 40-weeks (that is, 200-days) moving average mark is not recommended by many experts, as it indicates that the stock has not enough institutional support.
AAL stock price history
AAL IPO was on September 27th, 2005 at $19.84 per share1. Since then, AAL stock surged a 40.20%, with an average of 2.90% per year. If you had invested $1,000 in AAL stock in 2005, it would worth $402.00 today.
1: Adjusted price after possible price splits or reverse-splits.
AAL stock historical price chart
AAL stock reached 52-week highs at $36.24, and all-time highs 2006-11-24 with a price of 59.65.
AAL stock price targetNobody can reliably foresee how stock prices may evolve in the future. However, banks and other financial institutions analysts, with the help of lots of data and algorithms do their best to predict the stock prices movement. You should not follow the analysts' AAL stock price predictions in the hope that they will be met as they may be wrong and not met. For the last month we have not detected any price prediction for American Airlines stock by any trusted analyst.
Financials and fundamental analysis
Earnings date and Earnings per ShareSince last April, when American Airlines published its last earnings report, it . As soon as we get its posted EPS from the earnings report, we will extend this review.
|Quarter||Reporting date||Estimated EPS||Actual EPS||Surprise|
Annual financial resultsIn 2018, American Airlines annual revenues inched a fine 4.51% to $44,530.00 M USD from $42,610.00 marked in 2017. Slightly worse, its profit margin (compared to sales) stayed constant to 3.72%, that is $1,658.00 million. American Airlines fiscal year ends in December, and to evaluate its evolution since then, we estimate annual sales and income figures by adding results from the last 4 quarters. This is called TTM (or Twelve Trailing Months). So, American Airlines TTM sales up to March 2019 were $44,713.00 and earnings $1,656.00 million USD. When comparing this TTM figures with the last reported annuality, we can esteem American Airlines business evolution since December 2018: Annual sales up to March, compared to lastest yearly report, remained constant a tight 0.41%. Regarding profit margin, American Airlines remained constant -0.02% to 3.72%
|2013||$26,740 M||-||$-1,830.00 M-6.8%||-|
|2014||$42,650 M||59.50%||$2,882 M6.8%||-257.49%|
|2015||$40,990 M||-3.89%||$7,610 M18.6%||164.05%|
|2016||$40,180 M||-1.98%||$2,676 M6.7%||-64.84%|
|2017||$42,610 M||6.05%||$1,285 M3.0%||-51.98%|
|2018||$44,530 M||4.51%||$1,658 M3.7%||29.03%|
|TTM||$44,713 M||0.41%||$1,656 M3.7%||-0.12%|
Quarterly financial resultsAmerican Airlines reported $10,584.00 million in revenues for 2019-Q1, a -3.14% less compared to previous quarter. Reported quarter income marked $185.00 million with a profit margin of 1.75%. Profit margin declined a -3.41% compared to previous quarter when profit margin was 5.16%. When comparing revenues to same quarter last year, American Airlines sales marked a tiny gain and stepped up a 1.76%. Looking back to recent quarterly results, American Airlines posted 3 positive quarters in a row.
|2017-Q2||$11,110 M||-||$803 M7.2%||-|
|2017-Q3||$10,880 M||-2.07%||$624 M5.7%||-22.29%|
|2017-Q4||$10,196 M||-6.29%||$54 M0.5%||-91.35%|
|2018-Q1||$10,401 M||2.01%||$186 M1.8%||244.44%|
|2018-Q2||$11,643 M||11.94%||$566 M4.9%||204.30%|
|2018-Q3||$11,559 M||-0.72%||$341 M3.0%||-39.75%|
|2018-Q4||$10,927 M||-5.47%||$564 M5.2%||65.40%|
|2019-Q1||$10,584 M||-3.14%||$185 M1.7%||-67.20%|
American Airlines ownershipWhen you are planning to invest in shares of a company, it's worth to have a look its ownership structure.
American Airlines shares owned by insiders (that is, founders, CEO, CTO, main executives or other management staff) currently counts a 40.01% of all shares.
In case of American Airlines stock, 5.17% of its shares are held by institutions (mutual funds, pension funds, big banks and other large financial institutions). Bearish positions for AAL stock account 0.00%, no big difference from last month.
The following table compares ownership indicators for other stocks related to American Airlines:
|Market cap||$11.9 B|
|Total shares||428.2 M|
|Float shares||429.3 M|
|- Institutional holdings (%)||5.2%|
|- Insider holdings (%)||40.0%|
|Shares in short selling||0.0%|
|Friday, February 21st, 2020|
|Day range||$27.17 - $28.30|
|Average true range||$0.97|
|50d mov avg||$28.05|
|100d mov avg||$28.22|
|200d mov avg||$28.97|
American Airlines performanceTo measure stock performance is always good to compare with competitors or related stocks. For American Airlines, the benchmark is made against .
American Airlines competitorsUnfortunately, we could not find any public company that could be defined as American Airlines competitor. This doesn't mean American Airlines does not have any competitor in the market, it's just we could not detected it.
Latest AAL stock news
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